O Prof. Danny Quah, do Economics Department da London School of Economics and Political Science and LSE Governance, está com um novo paper na praça. Ele se intitula “The Global Economy´s Shifting Centre of Gravity”.
Como mostra o Prof. Quah, o centro econômico de gravidade do planeta está se deslocando, e, pelas suas projeções estará entre a India e a China lá pelos anos 2050! Quem viver verá!
Eis o resumo do paper, que você pode baixar aqui!
This article describes the dynamics of the global economy’s centre of gravity, the average location of economic
activity across geographies on Earth. The calculations here take into account all the GDP produced on this planet. The article finds that in 1980 the global economy’s centre of gravity was mid-Atlantic. By 2008, from the continuing rise of China and the rest of East Asia, that centre of gravity had drifted to a location east of Helsinki and Bucharest.
Extrapolating growth in almost 700 locations across Earth, this article projects the world’s economic centre of gravity to locate by 2050 literally between India and China. Observed from Earth’s surface, that economic centre of gravity will shift from its 1980 location 9,300 km or 1.5 times the radius of the planet.