Mais um de http://www.bloggingstocks.com/. Desta vez a notícia é sobre o vai-e-vem das negociações para sobreviver a atual crise financeira internacional. Mas o curso das coisas parece óbivo: na indústria de TICs mundial a concentração parece ser o rumo natural das coisas.
E os big players estão dando as cartas. Como manifesto sempre aos meus alunos, é o momento adequado para aplicar a Teoria dos Jogos, e ficar observando o comportamento estratégico destes players!
IBM (NYSE: IBM) has walked out on its deal to buy Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ: JAVA) — or could just be using hardball negotiations to have its way on the price it is willing to pay. Word is that Sun’s board is divided over the value of IBM’s offer.
In either case, the value of Sun’s stock is likely to go back to where it traded before the IBM buy-out rumor hit the street. That would be under $5. The stock closed at $8.49 on Friday.
According to Reuters, “The collapse of the talks, if final, would come as a surprise to Wall Street, which had seen the deal as a means for Sun’s survival, as well as a way for IBM to compete more effectively against rivals like Hewlett-Packard.” It would also leave Sun, one of the worst-managed tech companies in America, to fend for itself in a recession that has cut sharply into IT spending.
Sun has survived the last three years through cost cutting. In a good quarter over that period it has lost a modest amount of money. Since there are several larger companies competing with it for market share in the global server business, Sun’s losses could grow considerably if another suitor does not come along. That is not likely. The only other company which could use Sun as a way to buy market share is Dell (NASDAQ: DELL), and it has not had any appetite for large acquisitions.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 24/7 Wall St.